Head and Shoulders pattern — top reversal classic
Marek 22 marca 2024 EUR/USD daily Head and Shoulders. Left shoulder 1.0950, head 1.1050, right shoulder 1.0930. Neckline 1.0820. Break neckline 1.0815. Marek short, SL 1.0840, TP 1.0640. 8 dni -180 pip. R:R 1:7. Top reversal classic. Pokazujemy framework.
Head and Shoulders basics
Head and Shoulders (H&S) = klasyczny bearish reversal pattern. 3 swings: left shoulder + head (highest) + right shoulder. Neckline: support level connecting swing lows.
Pattern structure
„H&S 3 swings: left shoulder rises, falls. Head higher rise, falls. Right shoulder smaller rise (NIE makes higher high), falls neckline. Neckline break = entry short."
Setup mechanics
- Identify uptrend: H&S = reversal context
- Wait pattern complete: 3 swings visible
- Draw neckline: connect swing lows
- Wait neckline break: close below confirmation
- Entry post-break lub retest neckline
- SL above right shoulder
- TP: head height projected from neckline
Marek case
Inverse H&S
Inverse Head and Shoulders = bullish reversal mirror. 3 swings: left shoulder bottom + head (lowest) + right shoulder. Neckline: resistance break = long entry. WR 65% z confluence.
Confluence
- Volume declining shoulders
- Volume expanding neckline break
- S/R level neckline confluence
- Multi-timeframe pattern visible
- Reversal candle neckline break
Common mistakes
- Trading pattern pre-completion
- NIE neckline break confirmation
- Right shoulder higher head (invalid)
- NIE volume confirmation
- Aggressive entry pre-break
Wnioski
Head and Shoulders = top bearish reversal pattern 100+ lat. Universal stocks + forex + commodities.
3 swings: left shoulder + head + right shoulder. Neckline support connect swing lows.
7-step setup: uptrend → 3 swings → neckline draw → break wait → entry → SL right shoulder → TP head height.
Marek EUR/USD case: H&S complete + neckline break = -180 pip 8 dni. R:R 1:7.
Inverse H&S = bullish reversal mirror. Neckline resistance break = long entry.
Confluence: volume, S/R, multi-timeframe, reversal candle.
Common mistakes: pre-completion trading, NIE neckline break, right shoulder higher head, NIE volume, aggressive pre-break.
Konkluzja: classic top reversal pattern. WR 65% z confluence. Combine z S/R + multi-timeframe = sustainable strategy. Inverse H&S = bullish equivalent.
Powiązane: Cup and Handle, triangle, S/R flips.
Głębsza analiza — H&S deep dive ForexMechanics.
Źródła i bibliografia
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Charles Dow Dow Theory · Pattern foundation www.investopedia.com ↗