Harmonic patterns — Gartley, Bat, Butterfly, Crab

Ostrzeżenie · YMYL Ten artykuł ma charakter wyłącznie edukacyjny i nie stanowi rekomendacji inwestycyjnej. Handel na rynku Forex wiąże się z wysokim ryzykiem utraty kapitału — według ESMA 74–89% rachunków detalicznych traci pieniądze.

Anna 6 mies. learning harmonic patterns. Rok 1: 50% WR (struggling identification). Rok 2: focused Bat patterns + S/R confluence = 65% WR. €10k profit attributable harmonic strategy. Gartley Carney Carney Bat Butterfly Crab = Fibonacci-based 5-point reversal patterns. Tu pokazujemy 4 main + framework.

Harmonic = Fibonacci-based reversal

4 main harmonic patterns

Pattern Fibonacci ratios
Gartley (1935)B=61.8% XA, D=78.6% XA
Bat (Carney)B=38-50% XA, D=88.6% XA (deeper)
ButterflyB=78.6% XA, D=127% extension (beyond X)
Crab (Carney)B=38-61.8% XA, D=161.8% extension
Common5-point XABCD structure
VisualSymmetrical M/W shapes

Pattern identification

  1. Find swing X (low/high)
  2. Identify A (opposite swing)
  3. B = retracement XA (61.8% Gartley, 50% Bat, 78.6% Butterfly)
  4. C = retracement AB (38.2-88.6%)
  5. D = projection/retracement (78.6% XA Gartley, 88.6% Bat, 127% Butterfly, 161.8% Crab)
  6. Wait dla D completion = enter point

Entry framework

Entry methods
ConservativeWait candle confirmation at D (pin bar/engulfing)
AggressiveLimit order na D level (no confirmation)
Position scaling50% at D, 50% po confirmation
SL10-20 pips beyond D point
TP138.2% AD retracement (R/R 1:1)
TP261.8% AD (R/R 1:2)
TP3100% AD full reversal (R/R 1:3)

EUR/USD Gartley bullish example

Anna Gartley trade
X1.0850
A1.0950 (100 pip move)
B1.0888 (62% XA retracement)
C1.0918 (50% AB)
D1.0871 (78.6% XA retracement)
Entry1.0871 z bullish engulfing confirm
SL1.0856 (15 pips below D)
TP21.0920 (R/R 1:3.3)
ResultTP2 hit w 4 dni, +€165

Win rates per pattern

  • Bat: 60-65% (most reliable modern markets)
  • Gartley: 55-60% (most common, beginner-friendly)
  • Butterfly: 55-60% (strong extensions)
  • Crab: 50-55% (extreme extensions hit/miss)
  • +Confluence (trend, S/R): +10% WR each pattern

Best practices

  1. Higher TF better (H4, Daily, Weekly)
  2. Confluence z trend +10% WR
  3. D point AT major S/R = stronger signal
  4. Multiple confirmations: candle + divergence + S/R
  5. Position sizing 1% risk strict
  6. NIE force patterns (tight Fibonacci required)
„Harmonic patterns NIE shortcut wealth. 3-6 mies. learning curve. 55-65% WR z proper identification. Bat pattern modern markets > Gartley. Combine z S/R + trend = 70%+ WR. Anna case: 6 mies. learn = +€10k year 2 profit."

Tools

Harmonic tools
TradingView XABCDFree Pro ($14.95/mies.), manual placement
HarmonicTrader.comScott Carney paid pro tools
Pattern Recognition MasterTradingView FREE auto-detect
MT4/MT5 indicatorsFree + paid, quality varies
Beginner setupTradingView XABCD free

Common mistakes

  • Incorrect ratio identification
  • Trading every potential pattern (most NIE complete)
  • Tight SL inside D zone (stop hunts)
  • NIE waiting dla confirmation at D
  • Counter-trend harmonic trades
  • Loose ratios = invalid patterns

Wnioski

Harmonic patterns = 5-point Fibonacci-based reversal patterns. Pioneer H.M. Gartley 1935, refined Scott Carney 2000s.

4 main: Gartley (B=61.8%, D=78.6%), Bat (B=38-50%, D=88.6%), Butterfly (D=127% extension), Crab (D=161.8% extension).

Pattern identification: 5 points XABCD z specific Fibonacci ratios. TradingView XABCD tool helps.

Entry: conservative (confirmation candle), aggressive (limit at D), position scaling.

SL 10-20 pips beyond D. TP1 38.2% AD, TP2 61.8% AD, TP3 100% AD.

Win rates: Bat 60-65% best modern, Gartley 55-60%, Butterfly 55-60%, Crab 50-55%.

+Confluence trend + S/R = +10% WR each pattern.

Best practices: higher TF, confluence required, multiple confirmations, 1% risk strict.

Anna case: 6 mies. learning, year 2 +€10k profit. Bat patterns + S/R confluence dominate strategy.

Tools: TradingView XABCD free, PRM auto-detect, Scott Carney paid pro. Beginner free sufficient.

Common mistakes: incorrect ratios, force patterns, tight SL, counter-trend, no confirmation.

Time investment: 3-6 mies. learn properly. NIE shortcut.

Powiązane: Fibonacci retracement baseline, Fibonacci extensions related, Elliott Wave framework complement.

Jarosław Wasiński
O autorze

Jarosław Wasiński

Redaktor naczelny MyBank.pl · Analityk finansowy i rynkowy

Niezależny analityk i praktyk z ponad 20-letnim doświadczeniem w sektorze finansowym. Twórca i redaktor naczelny portalu MyBank.pl, działającego od 2004 roku. Analiza fundamentalna rynków walutowych i makroekonomicznych od 2007 roku.

Źródła i bibliografia

  1. H.M. Gartley Profits in the Stock Market 1935 · original harmonic www.amazon.com ↗
  2. Scott Carney Harmonic Trading Volume 1+2 · modern definitions harmonictrader.com ↗
  3. TradingView XABCD harmonic tools · platform documentation www.tradingview.com ↗

Najczęstsze pytania

4 main harmonic patterns details?

4 main harmonic patterns (Fibonacci ratios różnią je): Gartley (1935 original): Best ratios: B = 61.8% XA retracement, C = 38.2-88.6% AB retracement, D = 78.6% XA retracement. CD = 1.27-1.618 BC extension. Most common harmonic, beginner-friendly. Bat (Scott Carney): Best ratios: B = 38.2-50% XA (shallower than Gartley), C = 38.2-88.6% AB, D = 88.6% XA retracement (deeper than Gartley). CD = 1.618-2.618 BC. More common than Gartley w forex modern markets. Butterfly (Bryce Gilmore): Best ratios: B = 78.6% XA (deep retracement), D = 127% XA extension (BEYOND X). CD = 1.618-2.24 BC. D extends beyond X = strongest reversal signal. Crab (Scott Carney): Best ratios: B = 38.2-61.8% XA, D = 161.8% XA extension (MOST extended). CD = 2.618-3.618 BC. D far beyond X = extreme reversal signal. Visual identification: all 5-point patterns (X-A-B-C-D). Symmetrical "M" lub "W" shapes z specific Fibonacci ratios. Pattern direction: bullish (W-shape, ending D = potential long entry). Bearish (M-shape, ending D = potential short entry). Tools: TradingView XABCD pattern tool draws automatically po placing 5 points. Verifies ratios. Pattern Recognition indicators free.

Entry + exit framework?

Harmonic pattern entry/exit framework: Pattern identification: (1) Find swing X (low/high). (2) Identify A (opposite swing). (3) B = retracement XA. (4) C = retracement AB. (5) D = projection/retracement określa pattern type. Wait dla D completion: pattern NIE complete dopóki cena reaches D level z proper Fibonacci ratio. Entry rules: (1) Conservative: wait dla candle confirmation at D point. Bullish pin bar, engulfing, double bottom = enter long. Bearish reverse. (2) Aggressive: enter na touch D level z limit order. NIE confirmation wait. (3) Position scaling: enter 50% at D, 50% po confirmation. SL placement: Bullish patterns: SL 10-20 pips below D point. NIE inside D zone (stop hunts). Bearish patterns: SL above D point. TP placement: TP1: 38.2% AD retracement (conservative, R/R 1:1). TP2: 61.8% AD retracement (R/R 1:2). TP3: 100% AD (full reversal, R/R 1:3). Partial close strategy: 50% TP1, 30% TP2, 20% TP3. Captures most reversals + lets winners run. EUR/USD Gartley bullish example: X 1.0850, A 1.0950 (100 pip move), B 1.0888 (62% retracement), C 1.0918 (50% AB), D 1.0871 (78.6% XA). Entry 1.0871, SL 1.0856 (15 pips below), TP1 1.0901 (38.2% AD), TP2 1.0920, TP3 1.0950. R/R TP2 = 1:3.3.

Win rates + best practices?

Harmonic pattern statistical performance: Win rates per pattern: Gartley 55-60%. Bat 60-65% (most reliable modern markets). Butterfly 55-60%. Crab 50-55% (extreme extensions hit/miss). Best practices: (1) Higher timeframe better: H4, Daily, Weekly. Lower TF noise. (2) Confluence z trend: harmonic pattern + higher TF trend alignment = +10% WR. (3) Confluence z S/R: D point AT major S/R = strong signal. (4) Multiple confirmations: candle pattern + indicator divergence + S/R. (5) Position sizing: 1% risk per trade. NIE compound on consecutive losses. (6) NIE force patterns: tight Fibonacci ratios required. Loose ratios = invalid pattern. Common mistakes: (1) Incorrect ratio identification — TradingView tool helps verify. (2) Trading every potential pattern (most NIE complete). (3) Tight SL inside D zone (stop hunts). (4) NIE waiting dla confirmation at D. (5) Counter-trend harmonic trades (lower win rate). Time investment: 3-6 mies. learn identify accurately. Start with paper trading 100+ patterns. Track win rates. Build personal library. Anna case: 6 mies. learning harmonic patterns. Year 1: 50% WR (struggling identification). Year 2: 65% WR z Bat patterns + S/R confluence. Account +€10k attributable harmonic strategy. NIE shortcut: harmonic requires significant chart time + practice.

Tools + automation?

Harmonic pattern tools: TradingView XABCD Pattern: free, included Pro tier ($14.95/mies.). Manual placement 5 points, auto-calculates ratios, validates pattern. Standard retail tool. HarmonicTrader.com: Scott Carney's site. Paid software + courses. Industry standard pro. MT4/MT5 indicators: free + paid harmonic pattern indicators. Auto-detection. Quality varies. Pattern Recognition Master (PRM): TradingView free indicator. Auto-detects 10+ harmonic patterns real-time. Scanner tools: scan multiple pairs simultaneously dla pattern completion. Limitations automation: (1) Auto-detection often FALSE positives (loose ratios). (2) Best practice: auto-detect + manual verification. (3) Quality patterns require human judgment. Free vs paid: Free TradingView XABCD tool sufficient learning. Paid Scott Carney resources advanced ($500+ courses). Setup recommendation: Beginner: TradingView free + manual identification 6 mies. learning. Intermediate: + PRM auto-detection. Validate manually. Pro: TradingView Pro + Scott Carney HarmonicScanner. Multi-pair scanning. Combine z other tools: harmonic alone = decent. Harmonic + RSI divergence + S/R = excellent. Marek case: TradingView XABCD + PRM auto-detect EUR/USD. Saved 5 hours weekly manual scanning. Identified 3 quality setups/mies. average. Win rate 60%. €600-1200 monthly profit harmonic strategy. Realistic income: harmonic NIE "shortcut wealth". Time investment + skill = €500-2000/mies. realistic dla serious practitioner.

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