Crab pattern — harmoniczny XABCD 1.618 deep extreme Scott Carney
Crab pattern Scott Carney 2000+ harmoniczny XABCD pattern. D point = 1.618 extension XA (deep extreme poza X, najgłębszy w harmonic family). AB = 0.382/0.618 XA, BC = 0.382/0.886 AB, CD = 2.618/3.618 BC. Marek 6-tygodni case +13%. Niche deep reversal pattern. Carney "discovered" 2000+. Oto framework.
Crab pattern definicja
Crab pattern = Scott Carney 2000+ harmoniczny XABCD pattern (Carney claims 2000 discovery). D point = 1.618 extension XA (najgłębszy w harmonic family). Strict Fibonacci: AB = 0.382/0.618 XA, BC = 0.382/0.886 AB, CD = 2.618/3.618 BC extension. Najbardziej extreme deep reversal pattern.
XABCD struktura Crab
"Crab bullish: X high, A low (initial drop), B high (0.382/0.618 retracement XA), C low (0.382/0.886 retracement AB), D high (1.618 extension XA + 2.618/3.618 BC extension). D = deep extreme reversal poza X. Crab = najgłębszy harmonic pattern."
Setup wykonanie
Krok 1 — XA impulse identyfikacja
Czysty trend impulse XA. Min 50 pip move D1+. Strong trend kontekst kluczowy.
Krok 2 — AB = 0.382/0.618 XA
Shallow do mid retracement AB. Range 0.382-0.618. NIE 0.786 jak Gartley.
Krok 3 — BC = 0.382/0.886 AB
Retracement AB allowed range 0.382-0.886. C point formation.
Krok 4 — CD + D = 1.618 XA extreme
D point = 1.618 extension XA (deep extreme poza X) AND 2.618/3.618 extension BC (dual confirmation). Strict 1.618 D validation kluczowa.
Krok 5 — Entry D + SL/TP
Reversal entry przy D deep extreme. SL beyond D (15-25 pip). TP 0.382, 0.618 retracement CD targets.
Marek 6-tygodni case
Najczęstsze błędy
- Trade pre-D completion (premature entry deep extreme)
- NIE strict 1.618 D validation
- SL za bliski (D extreme spike)
- Mylenie Crab z Butterfly (1.618 vs 1.27)
- NIE confirmation candle przy D extreme
Deep Crab variant
- Standard Crab: D = 1.618 XA + 2.618 BC
- Deep Crab: D = 1.618 XA + 3.618 BC extension (deeper)
- Oba Carney 2000+ additions
- Deep Crab rzadszy, ale wyższy R:R
- Win rate similar 55-60%
Combine z RSI + S/R
Crab + RSI divergence + S/R confluence + previous swing extreme = multi-confirmation. Crab = deep extreme structure. RSI divergence = momentum confirmation. S/R = horizontal level. Top setups confluence czterech.
Wnioski
Crab pattern = Scott Carney 2000+ harmoniczny XABCD najgłębszy reversal pattern.
D point = 1.618 extension XA (deep extreme poza X). AB 0.382/0.618 XA, BC 0.382/0.886 AB, CD 2.618/3.618 BC.
Wykonanie 5-krok: XA impulse, AB 0.382/0.618, BC 0.382/0.886, D 1.618 XA + 2.618/3.618 BC, entry + SL/TP.
Marek 6-tyg case: 57% win rate (limited niche), +13% performance.
Najczęstsze błędy: pre-D entry, NIE strict 1.618, SL bliski, mylenie z Butterfly, NIE confirmation.
Deep Crab variant: D = 1.618 XA + 3.618 BC (deeper variant). Same win rate, wyższy R:R.
Combine: Crab + RSI + S/R + swing extreme = multi-confirmation 4-fold.
Wniosek: Crab pattern Carney 2000+ najgłębszy harmonic reversal. 55-60% win rate przy strict validation. Łącz z Gartley + Bat + Butterfly + Crab = pełna harmonic family toolkit (D points: 0.786/0.886/1.27/1.618). Top 5% harmoniczny pattern recognition trader trait.
Powiązane: Gartley, Bat, butterfly.
Głębsza analiza — Crab deep dive na ForexMechanics.
Źródła i bibliografia
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Scott Carney - Harmonic Trading Volume 1 (2010) www.harmonictrader.com ↗