Pennant pattern — bull/bear flag continuation
Marek 22 marca 2024 GBP/USD bull pennant. Flagpole 1.2580 → 1.2700 (120 pip strong move). Pennant 1 week converging consolidation 1.2670-1.2700. Breakout 1.2710. Marek long, SL 1.2680, TP 1.2820. 5 dni +120 pip. R:R 1:4. Pokazujemy framework.
Pennant podstawy
Pennant pattern = bull/bear flag continuation. Flagpole: strong move 50-100 pip+. Pennant: triangle consolidation 1-3 weeks. Breakout: continuation direction.
Pattern structure
„Bull pennant: strong upmove (flagpole) + converging triangle pullback (pennant) + breakout up (continuation). Bear pennant: opposite. WR 65% z trend confluence."
Setup mechanics
- Identify trend: pennant = continuation context
- Wait flagpole: strong move 50-100 pip+
- Identify pennant: triangle consolidation 1-3 weeks
- Wait breakout: pennant trendline close
- Entry post-confirmation lub retest
- SL beyond pennant low
- TP: flagpole height projected
Marek case
vs Flag
Flag = parallel channel pullback. Pennant = converging trendlines (mini-triangle). Same continuation logic. Pennant tighter consolidation typically. Both bullish + bearish variants.
Confluence
- Trend direction (continuation only)
- Volume declining pennant
- Volume expanding breakout
- S/R level confluence
- Multi-timeframe alignment
Common mistakes
- Counter-trend pennant trading
- NIE flagpole verification (50+ pip move)
- Pre-completion entry
- NIE volume confirmation
- Pattern too long (>4 weeks pennant invalid)
Wnioski
Pennant pattern = bull/bear flag continuation. Edwards & Magee classic.
Structure: flagpole (strong move) + pennant (triangle 1-3 weeks) + breakout continuation.
7-step setup: trend → flagpole → pennant → breakout wait → entry → SL pennant low → TP flagpole height.
Marek GBP/USD case: bull pennant + breakout = +120 pip 5 dni. R:R 1:4.
vs Flag: flag parallel channel, pennant triangle. Same continuation logic.
Confluence: trend direction, volume, S/R, multi-timeframe.
Common mistakes: counter-trend, NIE flagpole verification, pre-completion, NIE volume, pattern too long.
Konkluzja: top continuation pattern. WR 65% z trend confluence. Combine z S/R + multi-timeframe = sustainable strategy. Bull/bear pennant universal forex pattern.
Powiązane: triangle, Cup and Handle, breakout pullback.
Głębsza analiza — pennant deep dive ForexMechanics.
Źródła i bibliografia
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Edwards & Magee Technical Analysis Stock Trends · Pattern classic www.amazon.com ↗