Three River Evening Star — Japanese candlestick reversal 3-świece

Anna 2024 marzec startuje Three River Evening Star pattern. Pre-strategy: harmonic patterns familiar. 5-mies systematic Evening Star + RSI confluence short setups. 24 setups, 15 zysk + 9 strat. +14% performance. Japanese candlestick Steve Nison classic. Top reversal patterns. Oto framework.

Three River Evening Star definicja

Three River Evening Star = Japanese candlestick bearish reversal 3-świece. Steve Nison "Japanese Candlestick Charting Techniques" (1991) klasyk. Three rivers = "Sankawa" włoski. 3-candle struktura: Świeca 1 duża bull + Świeca 2 indecision (small body, gap up) + Świeca 3 duża bear (gap down, zamknięcie poniżej świecy 1 midpoint). Bearish reversal top signal.

Evening Star struktura

"Evening Star 3-świece: 1) Duża bull świeca (body > 70% range, uptrend continuation), 2) Indecision świeca (small body, color różny, gap up open vs świeca 1 close), 3) Duża bear świeca (body > 70% range, gap down open, zamknięcie < świeca 1 midpoint). Doji środkowy = silniejszy sygnał (Evening Doji Star)."

4-krok framework

Krok 1 — Identify uptrend + świeca 1 bull duża

Trend uptrend confirmed (200 EMA bullish + higher highs). Świeca 1 = duża bull (body > 70% range). Continuation pattern.

Krok 2 — Świeca 2 indecision + gap up

Świeca 2 = small body (< 30% świecy 1 body). Gap up open vs świeca 1 close. Color flexible (bull, bear, doji). Doji = silniejszy sygnał.

Krok 3 — Świeca 3 bear duża + gap down + close < midpoint

Świeca 3 = duża bear (body > 70% range). Gap down open vs świeca 2 close. Zamknięcie świecy 3 < świeca 1 midpoint = confirmation. Bearish reversal.

Krok 4 — Entry short + stop + take profit

Entry short na otwarcie świecy 4 lub break poniżej świecy 3 low. Stop loss powyżej świecy 2 high (gap up high). Take profit 0.382 + 0.618 retracement świec 1+3 range. Risk:reward 1:2 typowe.

Anna 5-mies case study

Najczęstsze błędy

1. Świeca 1 NIE w uptrend (no continuation, no reversal)
2. Świeca 2 body > 30% świecy 1 (NIE indecision)
3. Świeca 3 close > świeca 1 midpoint (NIE confirmation)
4. Gap NIE wymagany (FX 24h often no gap)
5. Brak RSI/MACD confluence (weak signal alone)

Evening Star vs Evening Doji Star

• Evening Star: Świeca 2 small body (NIE doji)
• Evening Doji Star: Świeca 2 doji (silniejszy sygnał)
• Abandoned Baby: Świeca 2 doji + gap before + after (extreme)
• Three Black Crows: alternative bearish 3-świece (different)
• Trader: Evening Doji Star priority signal

FX 24h vs stock market gaps

FX market 24h Mon-Fri = limited gaps (weekend gap only). Stock market daily open gap często. Evening Star originated stock market Japan rice futures 17th century. FX adaptacja: gap up/down często minimal albo brak. Trader FX = relax gap requirement, focus body size + close < świeca 1 midpoint. Steve Nison adaptacja FX rynek 1990s+ książka "Japanese Candlestick Charting" + "Beyond Candlesticks".

Wnioski

Three River Evening Star = Japanese candlestick bearish reversal 3-świece.

Steve Nison "Japanese Candlestick Charting" (1991) Western adaptacja. Sankawa japońska.

3-candle struktura: bull duża + indecision (gap up) + bear duża (gap down + close < midpoint).

Setup top reversal po uptrend. Entry short. Stop powyżej świecy 2 high. TP 0.382 + 0.618.

Anna 5-mies case: 24 setups 62% win rate, +14% short performance.

Confluence: RSI > 70 overbought + MACD bearish crossover = enhance signal.

Evening Doji Star variant (świeca 2 doji) = silniejszy sygnał. Abandoned Baby extreme.

Wniosek: Three River Evening Star Japanese candlestick bearish reversal classic. Steve Nison 1991 Western adaptacja. 3-świece struktura + close < świeca 1 midpoint confirmation. Anna 5-mies +14%. Łącz z RSI + MACD confluence + multi-timeframe analysis. Evening Doji Star variant priority. FX market = relax gap requirement. Top 5% trader trait + community + dyscyplina + candlestick precision + Nison tradycja.

Powiązane: Morning Star, Doji candlestick, Hammer.